← Explore · Market 2244513

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

38.0% implied · bid 37.0¢ · ask 39.0¢

The market prices this at 38.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability38.0%

Bid / ask / mid37.0¢ / 39.0¢ / 38.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (5.3%)

Change 24h+3.50pt

Change 7d+7.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$8,136

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,672 / $2,730

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score43.7 / 100

RSI 86 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.33

RSI (14, hourly)85.7

Realized vol 7d1.16pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 11d 22h.

Time to resolve11d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%