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← Explore · Market 2244932

Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?

37.5% implied · bid 31.0¢ · ask 44.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 43.0%, down 6.0pt over 24h, on a 13.0¢ spread.

Implied probability43.0%
Bid / ask / mid31.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 37.5¢
Spread13.0¢ (34.7%)
Change 24h-6.00pt
Change 7d+15.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 22% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$16
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance22% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.90
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.40pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth