← Explore · Market 2244932
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?
37.5% implied · bid 31.0¢ · ask 44.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 43.0%, down 6.0pt over 24h, on a 13.0¢ spread.
Implied probability43.0%
Bid / ask / mid31.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 37.5¢
Spread13.0¢ (34.7%)
Change 24h-6.00pt
Change 7d+15.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 22% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$16
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance22% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.90
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.40pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%