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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

0.3% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.3¢

The market prices this at 0.2%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.2%

Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.3¢ / 0.3¢

Spread0.1¢ (40.0%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$629,028

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,093 / $2,480

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score55.3 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.73

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.01pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 21d 22h.

Time to resolve21d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%