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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

2.1% implied · bid 2.1¢ · ask 2.2¢

The market prices this at 2.1%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability2.1%

Bid / ask / mid2.1¢ / 2.2¢ / 2.1¢

Spread0.1¢ (4.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.30pt

Moderately liquid (score 58/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,320

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16,798 / $870

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score58.3 / 100

RSI 30 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.64

RSI (14, hourly)30.0

Realized vol 7d0.08pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 67d 21h.

Time to resolve67d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%