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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

1.1% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 1.3¢

The market prices this at 1.0%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability1.0%

Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 1.3¢ / 1.1¢

Spread0.3¢ (26.1%)

Change 24h-0.25pt

Change 7d+0.35pt

Moderately liquid (score 69/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$755,661

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$32,422 / $8,999

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score69.2 / 100

RSI 47 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.01

RSI (14, hourly)47.1

Realized vol 7d0.08pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 21d 23h.

Time to resolve21d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%