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← Explore · Market 2252244

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

57.0% implied · bid 56.0¢ · ask 58.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 58.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability58.0%
Bid / ask / mid56.0¢ / 58.0¢ / 57.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.5%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-8.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 90/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,961
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$60,055 / $48,702
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score90.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.51
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.59pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 67d 21h.

Time to resolve67d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth