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← Explore · Market 2252244

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

64.5% implied · bid 64.0¢ · ask 65.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 65.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability65.0%
Bid / ask / mid64.0¢ / 65.0¢ / 64.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d-6.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$312,301
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$335,373 / $374,758
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)32
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.40
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.34pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 21d 23h.

Time to resolve21d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth