← Explore · Market 2252244
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
64.5% implied · bid 64.0¢ · ask 65.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 65.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability65.0%
Bid / ask / mid64.0¢ / 65.0¢ / 64.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d-6.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$312,301
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$335,373 / $374,758
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)32
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.40
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.34pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 23h.
Time to resolve21d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%