← Explore · Market 2252245
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
34.5% implied · bid 34.0¢ · ask 35.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 34.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability34.0%
Bid / ask / mid34.0¢ / 35.0¢ / 34.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.9%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$350,616
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$165,311 / $206,132
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)40
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 80 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.47
RSI (14, hourly)80.0
Realized vol 7d0.40pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 23h.
Time to resolve21d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%