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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

37.5% implied · bid 37.0¢ · ask 38.0¢

The market prices this at 39.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability39.0%

Bid / ask / mid37.0¢ / 38.0¢ / 37.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.7%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d+11.00pt

Deep and tight (score 78/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$16,377

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$34,545 / $31,777

Imbalance3% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score78.2 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.16

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.64pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 67d 21h.

Time to resolve67d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%