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← Explore · Market 2300260

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?

35.0% implied · bid 34.0¢ · ask 36.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 37.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability37.0%
Bid / ask / mid34.0¢ / 36.0¢ / 35.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (5.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+11.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$152
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$463 / $128
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.11
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.41pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 174d 21h.

Time to resolve174d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth