a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market 2300262

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?

55.5% implied · bid 55.0¢ · ask 56.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 55.0%, down 15.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability55.0%
Bid / ask / mid55.0¢ / 56.0¢ / 55.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.8%)
Change 24h-15.00pt
Change 7d-20.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,042
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$397 / $313
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 28 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.94
RSI (14, hourly)27.9
Realized vol 7d2.69pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 174d 21h.

Time to resolve174d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth