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← Explore · Market 2300263

Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by December 31?

70.5% implied · bid 60.0¢ · ask 81.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 64.0%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 21.0¢ spread.

Implied probability64.0%
Bid / ask / mid60.0¢ / 81.0¢ / 70.5¢
Spread21.0¢ (29.8%)
Change 24h+2.50pt
Change 7d+7.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 69% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$58
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance69% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 54 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.33
RSI (14, hourly)54.2
Realized vol 7d2.58pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 174d 21h.

Time to resolve174d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth