← Explore · Market 2300264
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31?
51.0% implied · bid 41.0¢ · ask 61.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 65.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 20.0¢ spread.
Implied probability65.0%
Bid / ask / mid41.0¢ / 61.0¢ / 51.0¢
Spread20.0¢ (39.2%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d-13.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 43 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.88
RSI (14, hourly)43.4
Realized vol 7d3.82pt
Change 1h+1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 174d 21h.
Time to resolve174d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%