← Explore · Market 2354063
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
80.5% implied · bid 79.0¢ · ask 82.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 81.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability81.0%
Bid / ask / mid79.0¢ / 82.0¢ / 80.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.7%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+9.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 81% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$5,194
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$249 / $566
Imbalance81% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.54
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d1.22pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%