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Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

1.3% implied · bid 1.2¢ · ask 1.3¢

The market prices this at 1.2%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.2%

Bid / ask / mid1.2¢ / 1.3¢ / 1.3¢

Spread0.1¢ (8.0%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.80pt

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,265

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,417 / $3,641

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score52.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.14

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%