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← Explore · Market 2356726

Will the Bank of Israel cut by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?

0.9% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 1.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.2%, up 0.8pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.

Implied probability0.2%
Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 1.2¢ / 0.9¢
Spread0.7¢ (82.4%)
Change 24h+0.80pt
Change 7d+0.10pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,267
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $24
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.03
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.15pt
Change 1h+0.80pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 22h.

Time to resolve5d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth