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← Explore · Market 2356727

Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?

90.5% implied · bid 90.0¢ · ask 91.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 93.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability93.0%
Bid / ask / mid90.0¢ / 91.0¢ / 90.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d+16.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 37% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$223
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,548 / $748
Imbalance37% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.51
RSI (14, hourly)62.5
Realized vol 7d1.43pt
Change 1h-0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 22h.

Time to resolve5d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth