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← Explore · Market 2363939

Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?

10.0% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 11.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 11.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (20.0%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d-14.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$389
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$79 / $202
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 42 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.80
RSI (14, hourly)41.7
Realized vol 7d1.50pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 22h.

Time to resolve5d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth