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← Explore · Market 2364961

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

45.5% implied · bid 45.0¢ · ask 46.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 47.0%, down 8.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability47.0%
Bid / ask / mid45.0¢ / 46.0¢ / 45.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h-8.50pt
Change 7d-14.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,509
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$200 / $1,693
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 32 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.29
RSI (14, hourly)32.4
Realized vol 7d1.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth