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← Explore · Market 2364962

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

52.5% implied · bid 52.0¢ · ask 53.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 53.0%, up 9.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability53.0%
Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 53.0¢ / 52.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.9%)
Change 24h+9.50pt
Change 7d+19.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$9,538
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$862 / $980
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 76 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.01
RSI (14, hourly)75.8
Realized vol 7d0.91pt
Change 1h+2.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth