← Explore · Market 2371045
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
84.0% implied · bid 83.0¢ · ask 85.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 85.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability85.0%
Bid / ask / mid83.0¢ / 85.0¢ / 84.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$75
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,696 / $2,488
Imbalance25% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.20
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.22pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 247d 22h.
Time to resolve247d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%