← Explore · Market 2371048
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
38.5% implied · bid 37.0¢ · ask 40.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 36.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability36.0%
Bid / ask / mid37.0¢ / 40.0¢ / 38.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (7.8%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-14.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$10
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$565 / $146
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.58
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.56pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 247d 22h.
Time to resolve247d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%