← Explore · Market 2371884
Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
10.0% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 12.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, down 4.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 10.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (40.0%)
Change 24h-4.50pt
Change 7d-5.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$608
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14 / $8
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 8 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-3.37
RSI (14, hourly)7.7
Realized vol 7d0.69pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%