← Explore · Market 2374171
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?
10.0% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 11.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (20.0%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$19,304
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$629 / $350
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.04
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.55pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%