← Explore · Market 2378913
Will the Bank of Korea cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
3.6% implied · bid 1.2¢ · ask 6.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.0%, up 0.4pt over 24h, on a 4.8¢ spread.
Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.2¢ / 6.0¢ / 3.6¢
Spread4.8¢ (133.3%)
Change 24h+0.45pt
Change 7d-0.05pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $7
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score26.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 58 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 7.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean7.49
RSI (14, hourly)57.9
Realized vol 7d0.16pt
Change 1h+0.35pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 46d 21h.
Time to resolve46d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%