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← Explore · Market 2378914

Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?

63.0% implied · bid 56.0¢ · ask 70.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 67.0%, up 10.0pt over 24h, on a 14.0¢ spread.

Implied probability67.0%
Bid / ask / mid56.0¢ / 70.0¢ / 63.0¢
Spread14.0¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h+10.00pt
Change 7d+19.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 33% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$377
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance33% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 55 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.57
RSI (14, hourly)54.9
Realized vol 7d2.10pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 46d 21h.

Time to resolve46d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth