← Explore · Market 2378915
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
19.5% implied · bid 18.0¢ · ask 21.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 26.0%, down 10.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability26.0%
Bid / ask / mid18.0¢ / 21.0¢ / 19.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h-10.50pt
Change 7d-27.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$69
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$46 / $108
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 21 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.64
RSI (14, hourly)21.4
Realized vol 7d1.93pt
Change 1h-1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 46d 21h.
Time to resolve46d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%