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← Explore · Market 2378916

Will the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?

5.5% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 10.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 10.0%, down 6.0pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.

Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 5.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (163.6%)
Change 24h-6.00pt
Change 7d-7.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$171
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $15
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 42 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.28
RSI (14, hourly)41.7
Realized vol 7d0.55pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 46d 21h.

Time to resolve46d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth