← Explore · Market 2379026

Will the South African Reserve Bank cut by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?

0.4% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.7¢

The market prices this at 0.2%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability0.2%

Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.4¢

Spread0.5¢ (111.1%)

Change 24h+0.10pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $1

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.5 / 100

RSI 51 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.68

RSI (14, hourly)50.6

Realized vol 7d0.73pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 12d 21h.

Time to resolve12d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%