← Explore · Market 2379027
Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?
10.0% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 11.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (20.0%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-19.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$647
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$35 / $70
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.71
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d1.18pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 12d 21h.
Time to resolve12d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%