← Explore · Market 2379028
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?
82.0% implied · bid 80.0¢ · ask 84.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 81.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability81.0%
Bid / ask / mid80.0¢ / 84.0¢ / 82.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (4.9%)
Change 24h-4.00pt
Change 7d+20.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 66% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$639
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$778 / $846
Imbalance66% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.19
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.54pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 12d 21h.
Time to resolve12d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%