← Explore · Market 2379029
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 50 bps or more at the July 2026 meeting?
4.0% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 7.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.9%, up 0.9pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
Implied probability0.9%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 4.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (150.0%)
Change 24h+0.85pt
Change 7d-3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6 / $17
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 53 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.61
RSI (14, hourly)53.4
Realized vol 7d2.66pt
Change 1h-0.40pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 12d 21h.
Time to resolve12d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%