← Explore · Market 2414230

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

75.0% implied · bid 71.3¢ · ask 78.6¢

The market prices this at 80.3%, down 9.1pt over 24h, on a 7.3¢ spread.

Implied probability80.3%

Bid / ask / mid71.3¢ / 78.6¢ / 75.0¢

Spread7.3¢ (9.7%)

Change 24h-9.10pt

Change 7d-1.65pt

Thin (score 14/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$11,655

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$89 / $25

Imbalance8% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score13.6 / 100

RSI 53 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.51

RSI (14, hourly)52.8

Realized vol 7d1.21pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 21d 13h.

Time to resolve21d 13h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%