← Explore · Market 2419353

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

74.5% implied · bid 74.0¢ · ask 75.0¢

The market prices this at 75.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability75.0%

Bid / ask / mid74.0¢ / 75.0¢ / 74.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)

Change 24h-1.00pt

Change 7d+22.50pt

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$44,682

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$451,611 / $111,072

Imbalance27% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score95.0 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.10

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d1.96pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2d 22h.

Time to resolve2d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%