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← Explore · Market 2419357

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

99.9% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.9%, up 22.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.9%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 99.9¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+22.45pt
Change 7d+25.45pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$85,353
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)9
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 7.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean7.07
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d1.71pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2d 22h.

Time to resolve2d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Order book unavailable.