← Explore · Market 2419359
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35.5% implied · bid 35.0¢ · ask 36.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 36.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability36.0%
Bid / ask / mid35.0¢ / 36.0¢ / 35.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.8%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+18.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,022
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,928 / $125,629
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.84
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d2.31pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 21h.
Time to resolve2d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%