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← Explore · Market 2419361

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

73.5% implied · bid 73.0¢ · ask 74.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 74.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability74.0%
Bid / ask / mid73.0¢ / 74.0¢ / 73.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+9.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,761
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$423,609 / $38,778
Imbalance27% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.44
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d3.06pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2d 22h.

Time to resolve2d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth