← Explore · Market 2430326
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
8.2% implied · bid 7.8¢ · ask 8.6¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.8%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.
Implied probability7.8%
Bid / ask / mid7.8¢ / 8.6¢ / 8.2¢
Spread0.8¢ (9.8%)
Change 24h-1.95pt
Change 7d-1.55pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$34,233
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,063 / $823
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 22 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.91
RSI (14, hourly)21.5
Realized vol 7d0.34pt
Change 1h-0.25pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%