← Explore · Market 2430327

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

88.5% implied · bid 88.0¢ · ask 89.0¢

The market prices this at 89.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability89.0%

Bid / ask / mid88.0¢ / 89.0¢ / 88.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)

Change 24h+4.00pt

Change 7d+1.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 61/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$43,440

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$18,418 / $13,157

Imbalance12% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score60.8 / 100

RSI 90 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.18

RSI (14, hourly)90.0

Realized vol 7d0.52pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%