← Explore · Market 2430331

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

0.4% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 0.5¢

The market prices this at 0.4%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.4%

Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 0.5¢ / 0.4¢

Spread0.1¢ (22.2%)

Change 24h+0.05pt

Change 7d+0.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$31,330

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$402 / $863

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score50.1 / 100

RSI 80 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.39

RSI (14, hourly)80.0

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%