← Explore · Market 2430368
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
3.6% implied · bid 2.2¢ · ask 5.1¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 2.9¢ spread.
Implied probability7.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.2¢ / 5.1¢ / 3.6¢
Spread2.9¢ (79.5%)
Change 24h-2.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$314
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$48 / $97
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 19 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.00
RSI (14, hourly)18.8
Realized vol 7d0.43pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%