← Explore · Market 2430369

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?

90.5% implied · bid 90.0¢ · ask 91.0¢

The market prices this at 90.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability90.0%

Bid / ask / mid90.0¢ / 91.0¢ / 90.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 45% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$256

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,179 / $2,689

Imbalance45% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.4 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.86

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.43pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%