← Explore · Market 2430379

Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?

1.1% implied · bid 0.6¢ · ask 1.5¢

The market prices this at 1.6%, up 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability1.6%

Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 1.5¢ / 1.1¢

Spread0.9¢ (85.7%)

Change 24h+0.40pt

Change 7d+0.60pt

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,459

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12 / $45

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.5 / 100

RSI 79 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean5.52

RSI (14, hourly)78.6

Realized vol 7d0.05pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%