← Explore · Market 2430440

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?

10.8% implied · bid 9.5¢ · ask 12.2¢

The market prices this at 12.3%, up 3.4pt over 24h, on a 2.7¢ spread.

Implied probability12.3%

Bid / ask / mid9.5¢ / 12.2¢ / 10.8¢

Spread2.7¢ (24.9%)

Change 24h+3.40pt

Change 7d+2.35pt

Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,251

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$51 / $169

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score36.6 / 100

RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.15

RSI (14, hourly)33.3

Realized vol 7d0.66pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%