← Explore · Market 2430451

Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?

1.7% implied · bid 1.1¢ · ask 2.2¢

The market prices this at 3.3%, up 0.9pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.

Implied probability3.3%

Bid / ask / mid1.1¢ / 2.2¢ / 1.7¢

Spread1.1¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h+0.90pt

Change 7d+1.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,023

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$56 / $1

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score44.5 / 100

RSI 64 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 6.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean6.66

RSI (14, hourly)64.1

Realized vol 7d0.16pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%