← Explore · Market 2430802

Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?

2.6% implied · bid 1.2¢ · ask 4.0¢

The market prices this at 1.2%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.8¢ spread.

Implied probability1.2%

Bid / ask / mid1.2¢ / 4.0¢ / 2.6¢

Spread2.8¢ (107.7%)

Change 24h-0.50pt

Change 7d-0.20pt

Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$191

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$22 / $59

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score36.0 / 100

RSI 46 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.97

RSI (14, hourly)46.4

Realized vol 7d0.37pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%