← Explore · Market 2430813

Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?

1.8% implied · bid 1.4¢ · ask 2.3¢

The market prices this at 1.5%, up 0.7pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability1.5%

Bid / ask / mid1.4¢ / 2.3¢ / 1.8¢

Spread0.9¢ (48.6%)

Change 24h+0.70pt

Change 7d+1.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$241

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$33 / $45

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.5 / 100

RSI 61 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.34

RSI (14, hourly)60.6

Realized vol 7d0.20pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%