← Explore · Market 2430853

Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?

3.5% implied · bid 2.1¢ · ask 4.8¢

The market prices this at 5.4%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 2.7¢ spread.

Implied probability5.4%

Bid / ask / mid2.1¢ / 4.8¢ / 3.5¢

Spread2.7¢ (78.3%)

Change 24h+0.30pt

Change 7d-3.05pt

Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$88

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$19 / $17

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score36.5 / 100

RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.51

RSI (14, hourly)57.1

Realized vol 7d0.36pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%