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← Explore · Market 2431017

Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

1.1% implied · bid 1.1¢ · ask 1.2¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.1%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.1%
Bid / ask / mid1.1¢ / 1.2¢ / 1.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (8.7%)
Change 24h-0.40pt
Change 7d+0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$399,556
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$29 / $199
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)30
Liquidity score49.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.10
RSI (14, hourly)52.9
Realized vol 7d0.15pt
Change 1h-0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 10d 1h.

Time to resolve10d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth