← Explore · Market 2431050
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
12.0% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.0%, down 18.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (16.7%)
Change 24h-18.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,172
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$17 / $11
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 16 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.52
RSI (14, hourly)15.7
Realized vol 7d2.25pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%