← Explore · Market 2431051
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
74.5% implied · bid 74.0¢ · ask 75.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 77.0%, up 10.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability77.0%
Bid / ask / mid74.0¢ / 75.0¢ / 74.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+10.50pt
Change 7d-6.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,142
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$114 / $797
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 74 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.79
RSI (14, hourly)73.8
Realized vol 7d2.51pt
Change 1h-2.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%