← Explore · Market 2431127
Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
0.4% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.7¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.5%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability0.5%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.6¢ (150.0%)
Change 24h-0.10pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$86
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $50
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.51
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.05pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%