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← Explore · Market 2431127

Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

0.4% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.7¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.5%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.

Implied probability0.5%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.6¢ (150.0%)
Change 24h-0.10pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$86
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $50
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.51
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.05pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth