← Explore · Market 2431128
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
94.0% implied · bid 93.0¢ · ask 95.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 95.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability95.0%
Bid / ask / mid93.0¢ / 95.0¢ / 94.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 38% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$432
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,803 / $11,361
Imbalance38% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 29 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.15
RSI (14, hourly)28.6
Realized vol 7d0.42pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%